What Happened in the Election
This blog post is my take on what happened in the election. The results – Harris lost and Trump won. Harris did not take the swing/battleground states. These states are as follows: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Trump won all these states. My guess all the election guesser will study this election and draw many incorrect conclusions.
The Election Keys Guesser
First, I will start with The Keys to the White House, also known as the 13 keys, is a prediction system for determining the outcome of presidential elections in the United States. It was developed by American historian Allan Lichtman and Russian geophysicist Vladimir Keilis-Borok in 1981, adapting methods that Keilis-Borok designed for earthquake prediction. There are several reason why these keys did not work for this election.
I will list them as I see them. Many voters still look at Trump as an outsider. Covert bias against women. Large amounts of misinformation and disinformation spread by online and by news outlets. Fear factors were not measures by the keys. Campaign goof up by Harris and the democratic party. Lastly, a key I suggested on YouTube to Allan Lichtman, the Grocery store key. One only has to go to the grocery story and check out to see price inflation to the cost of living. Therefore, his key on measuring the economy is flawed!
What many election Guessers don’t get, many voters have 40 years of feeling desperate. This desperation started in the Reagan years. In 2016 and 2024, the Trump campaign was able to link this in voters mines. Part of this desperation deals with the insecurity people in the middle middle classes and lower feel. Election Guessers really miss this emotion. Thus, they miss or don’t have a key for this. Hey, Allan Lichtman please add a grocery key and population desperation key! That will give you 15 keys next time.
The Elections Polls Guessers
What can I say the polls were all over the place. Polls are based on trend analysis and sampling. With cell phones and the internet, this is very difficult to measure now. Polling science has as a base on the work of statisticians and was developed off of sampling for Guinness Brewery to make quality beer. What the polls miss, in my opinion are the fear factor psychology and a misinformation/disinformation index. In the future my suggestions are as follows: population psychology sampling for fear(s), sampling for and measurement of misinformation and disinformation.
What I saw happening in this election cycle
The democrats mistakes: 1. Biden needed to say one and done. This was proven in the Biden vs Trump debate. Biden stood there with his mouth open in doltish wonder as Trump spewed lies 2. Harris was pushed as the candidate to replace Biden. In the previous primaries of 2020. She showed she was not viable. She withdrew before Iowa caucuses in 2020. Also like many women, Trump used a disinformation to slut shame her. Others like Megyn Kelly stated “she slept her way into politics”. This plays into the next issue against her, covert sexism. Yes, folks many men and women are covertly sexist. Thus they don’t trust women leaders. Lastly, when she went on “The View” show she blew a major question on the economy. This ties into my grocery store key. The stock market while important does not predict the economy well.
Note – Trump has sex abuse claims and lost in court on his slander. However, many disregard his rape mentality behavior but are biased toward Ms Harris for having affairs! THINK!
Did I attempt to predict the election? No, there was too much fuzzy information in the media with disinformation and misinformation. I had no way to measure on news and biased sources like Instagram and the new media to draw good measurements. To me the race was too close to call. One point Harris blew Trump’s mind in the debate. He went all “duck face” and talked about folks eating dogs and cats. That was not enough to turn people’s minds.
So What is next?
Well Mr Piggy is back!
Per his last time in office he is the energizer bunny of failure. So I really can’t expect much good to come of his term in office this time. Plan 2025 anyone. My guess he will spend more time on the golf course and at his properties than before. He will appoint people with less talent or their own agenda to run and ruin the country at the critical times we are in. Thus they will goof it up.
We have a major war in Europe, we have climate change issues and lastly we have trade and economic issues with food production. Remember he is not a conservative, he only cares about media ratings. He is older and will be worst than last time. Expect to see your food cost shoot sky high, inflation to soar and more disinformation, misinformation and foolish stuff on media.
My suggestion Blue Sky.
My Suggests for Your Future
Learn to grow food! Write to your folks in congress and the senate and express your displeasure and watch their every vote. Tune out the news. Who really wants to listen to misinformation from a fool.
Read books on Authoritarian leaders and how to deal with them. There are many now. Develop good coping skills, find out your covert and myth believes. Act locally and care for others. Hope this helps.
Now back to my plans and live. More post on my projects. I have a great deal to do!
Best wishes!